The Strategy we presented on 28 February 2020 consists of the Long-Term Strategic Plan to 2050 and the 2020-2023 Action Plan. In general, we have designed a strategy that mixes economic and environmental sustainability. This will enable Eni to be leader in the market, to which it will supply strongly decarbonised energy products, actively contributing to the energy transition process.
THE NEW ENI: CREATING VALUE THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSITION
Long-term Strategic Plan to 2050
After a thorough transformation that we began in 2014, we are now ready for a new phase in the evolution of our business model, which will take us to 2050. From today, and for the next thirty years we will be even more focussed on the creation of long term value, combining economic and environmental sustainability.
Giving shape to the future: our Strategy for 2050
We designed Eni's evolution over the next 30 years by combining continuous development goals in a fast-moving energy market with a significant reduction in the portfolio's carbon footprint.
The general principles
The fundamental features that inspire and drive the Plan's actions and activities are:
- The 17 UN SDGs are at the heart of our mission and underpin how we operate in each business, with a particular focus on climate change.
- We will reinforce our business portfolio by becoming even more integrated in the energy market, from production to the final sale of conventional, bio and renewable products.
- We will continue to focus on capital discipline to maintain a strong balance-sheet and to sustain our cash flow generation.
- We will maintain our progressive shareholder remuneration policy as a keystone of our capital allocation going forward.
Goals for 2050
The things we will achieve in the long term.
- 80% GHG
Net lifecycle GHG emissions vs 2018
Share of Natural Gas in total production
Installed renewable capacity vs. 0.4 GW in 2020
Total bio-refinery capacity
Sustainable fuels at service stations
300-500 Mton CO₂
Storage capacity at mining deposits (in Ravenna)
30 Mton CO₂
Offsetting emissions with forestry projects
Goals for 2050
With regard to the Upstream, the 2020-2023 Action Plan envisages the enhancement and growth of the exploration portfolio, with the aim of discovering 2.5 billion boe of resources and contributing to the geographical diversification of the portfolio. During the period of the plan, we expect to achieve cumulative organic free cash flow of more than 25 billion euros.
Eni's Strategic Plan for 2020-2023
We will focus our upstream on gas, and make its production profile more flexible and more sustainable with the use of carbon capture and offsetting with forestry conservation projects.
When it comes to renewables, we intend to move from the 0.4 GW of installed capacity in 2020, to 3 GW in 2023 and 5 GW in 2025, investing 2.6 billion euros over the duration of the plan. For the next four years, we will also be increasingly integrated along the value chain, from production to final consumption, so that we can provide sustainable electricity to every consumer. In addition to our brownfield projects, we aim to expand in developed markets. In Italy, we will continue to expand Progetto Italia, creating new plants for the production of renewable energy on decommissioned industrial land. In the United States, a market that we have just entered, we plan to develop projects of 1 GW installed capacity. On a global level, we will invest in renewables in Africa, Asia, Australia and Kazakhstan.
We will scale up our renewables capacity, linking it more closely to our power and gas retail branch, Eni gas e luce.
Gas & Power
In the Gas&Power sector, we expect retail customer growth to be around 11 million by 2023, including over 4 million from power sales outlets, developing new products and focusing on non-commodity services. With regard to the LNG portfolio, we also intend to develop new markets and enhance gas equity through an increasing integration with Upstream. Combined, these activities will enable a 2020-2023 cumulative organic free cash flow of 2.1 billion euros.
Refining & Marketing
In refining, for the 2020-2023 period, we plan to bring bio-refineries to a processing capacity of 1 million tonnes, at the same time making them palm oil free by using other feedstocks, such as castor oil. In the scope of the circular economy, we are developing initiatives to produce hydrogen and methanol from waste recycling. In terms of marketing, we aim to consolidate our presence in Europe by favouring high-margin segments. All these actions will enable us to create a 2020-2023 cumulative organic free cash flow equal to 2.6 million euros.
We will dramatically scale up our bio refining capacities, exiting palm oil by 2023 and concentrating on 2nd and 3rd generation feedstock.
With regard to Chemicals, the 2020-23 Action Plan envisages an increase in the balance of the ethylene-polyethylene supply chain, integrated with mechanical and chemical recycling and the recovery of efficiency from cracking. In polymers, we aim to increase the portfolio's progressive specialisation of higher value-added products and extend the downstream supply chain to compounding to reduce margin volatility. New processes and products will also be developed in renewable chemicals. In terms of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, we want to take action on increasing energy efficiency and feedstock flexibility. More generally, we will continue to promote the international development of this sector in synergy with other businesses in the group. Together, all these actions will enable a cumulative organic operating cash flow of 0.4 billion euros.
The main economic and financial data
Speed and flexibility
The four-year investment plan, which focuses on high-value and rapid return projects, includes investments of around 32 billion euros by 2023 and is characterised by a high level of flexibility with around 60% of investments between 2022-2023 not yet contracted. The Upstream investment plan, which accounts for 74% of the total, is well diversified geographically thanks to developments in the Middle East, Africa, Norway and Mexico. The current portfolio of active Upstream projects has a break even price of 23 dollars per barrel and a total IRR of about 25%.
Competitive in low-carbon
Our projects remain competitive even when it comes to low-carbon scenarios. In particular, by adopting the EA SDS scenario that foresees the global application of a strongly increasing direct CO2 cost, the overall IRR would be reduced by 0.7 percentage points In line with the medium and long-term objectives and to fuel the process of decarbonisation in society, we plan investments in renewable sources, energy efficiency, the circular economy and flaring reduction of 4 billion euros, a 33% increase from the previous plan.
Overall, the cumulative free cash flow over the plan horizon will be 23 billion euros and a strong growth in cash generation. In particular, by 2023, operating cash flow will grow by more than 3 billion euros with respect to 2019, thanks to the solid contribution of all businesses. Based on the results achieved in 2019 and the actions foreseen in the plan's horizon, we confirm the shareholder remuneration policy and for 2020 predict a dividend of 0.89 euros per share, 3.5% growth and a buyback of 400 million euros.
Our commitments for 2023
Goals for the next four years.
4 billion euros
Green investments in the 2020-2023 plan
Green investments vs. 2019-2022 Strategic Plan
Installed renewable capacity vs. 0.2 GW in 2019
Palm oil used in bio-refineries
charging points for electric vehicles
Read more about energy transition
Selected content on this topic.